Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 3.718922 4.136850 4.591076 5.122835 5.730066 6.403914 7.211121
2025-05-25 3.032640 3.571407 4.198568 4.987663 5.961119 7.131934 8.660659
2025-06-01 2.628838 3.226594 3.958310 4.929988 6.201613 7.830450 10.109483
2025-06-08 2.350062 2.980718 3.784415 4.899559 6.432011 8.501888 11.575590
2025-06-15 2.211052 2.887913 3.782304 5.073982 6.931163 9.568020 13.713605
2025-06-22 2.032645 2.719371 3.654243 5.050158 7.135270 10.224935 15.329883
2025-06-29 1.874558 2.561026 3.520331 4.995752 7.276409 10.789609 16.866846
2025-07-06 1.681114 2.335042 3.268019 4.737282 7.072033 10.784253 17.453938
2025-07-13 1.589495 2.247831 3.208589 4.761481 7.305972 11.497927 19.361195
2025-07-20 1.525854 2.195910 3.195638 4.853486 7.654106 12.435813 21.808374
2025-07-27 1.471808 2.153538 3.192316 4.957821 8.029732 13.461260 24.582338
2025-08-03 1.414739 2.101737 3.169011 5.024811 8.344324 14.410895 27.362659
2025-08-10 1.353465 2.040708 3.128783 5.063767 8.621295 15.342186 30.314502
2025-08-17 1.260998 1.923695 2.988803 4.917268 8.542065 15.577133 31.807428
2025-08-24 1.193540 1.842877 2.902841 4.858126 8.619294 16.129528 34.115073
2025-08-31 1.137112 1.776568 2.836410 4.827772 8.747314 16.799893 36.828094
2025-09-07 1.119165 1.773356 2.877608 4.999040 9.292970 18.429031 42.249171
2025-09-14 1.071095 1.715647 2.819035 4.975619 9.436997 19.194853 45.612554
2025-09-21 1.022097 1.653430 2.748207 4.922170 9.511415 19.811153 48.706795
2025-09-28 0.947220 1.542011 2.581965 4.668228 9.130289 19.313944 48.559597
2025-10-05 0.917137 1.508291 2.555731 4.692005 9.359327 20.308332 52.992416
2025-10-12 0.897975 1.492928 2.562260 4.782401 9.746422 21.747599 59.144722
2025-10-19 0.881307 1.481047 2.574340 4.884905 10.172385 23.351600 66.271128